Zero-Sum games in economics - Economics Help (2024)

A zero-sum game is a situation where one party benefits at the equal cost of another. If we add gains and losses the net benefit will always be zero.

  • If two players have an arm wrestle challenge, there can only be one winner and one loser. It is not possible to arm wrestle and both to win. I win – you lose. This is a zero-sum game.
  • If I take three apples from you. You have lost three; I have gained three. There is the same overall number of apples, just a redistribution of who owns them. This is a zero-sum game.

Zero-sum games in economics

In economics, there are quite a few examples of zero-sum games.

  • Licensing rights. If the government give a right to mine natural resources to one company, it is at the expense of a rival company who is not able to mine.
  • Insurance payouts. If an insurance company agrees to pay out for a loss of property, you gain and they lose. They transfer $1,000 from their account to yours.
  • Future and options contracts. These are agreements where depending on changes in prices, investors will transfer wealth to another investor.
  • Distribution of budget. If the government has $100bn to spend between education and health care, increasing the budget for health care, means less spending for education. (* though this isn’t necessarily a zero-sum game, see below)
  • Current account deficit. If there are two countries, and one runs a current account surplus, the other country must run an equivalent current account deficit, by definition.

Zero-Sum games in economics - Economics Help (2)

This shows a rough inverse relationship between China and US current account deficit. As US deficit increases, Chinese surplus also increases.

Production Possibility Frontier and Zero-sum game

In this case, there is a direct trade off between hours worked and hours of leisure. If you have two hours more free time, the opportunity cost is two hours less for work. The amount of time is fixed, you need to choose between the two.

Zero-sum game theory

Matching Pennies Game

  • This is a game with two players. They both put a penny on the table.
  • If the pennies are Heads/heads or tails/tails – then Player A wins both pennies. He gains 1, (player B loses 1)
  • If the pennies are mixed (heads/tails) or tails/heads then play B wins both pennies.

A very simple zero-sum game.

Entering or leaving the market

This is a zero-sum game. Whatever the choice, the net benefit is always 0.

The dominant strategy for both firms is Firm A enters the market. Firm B enters the market, so we end up at top left (1,-1) Which means firm A is benefiting at the expense of firm B.

Non-zero sum game

In a non-zero-sum game, it is possible for two parties to both benefit from a decision. For example, if Portugal and the UK engage in free trade, both countries can see a rise in economic welfare. Most transactions are non-zero-sum games because most transactions can be beneficial to both.

Prisoners dilemma

The prisoner’s dilemma is a non-zero sum game

In this case, by both colluding and agreeing not to co-operate, both parties can benefit

Zero-Sum of Mercantilism vs Free Trade

Mercantilism is an economic theory, which generally saw economic prosperity as a zero-sum game. Before the nineteenth century, many believed that the key to improving economic welfare was to take natural resources from others, run a trade surplus and accumulate gold/silver. It was all based on the concept that economic resources were limited and therefore if you wanted to become better off, you needed to take it before other people did. This zero-sum game approach had very important political implications. It was a motivation behind the ‘age of empire’. European countries sought to gain natural resources from other countries around the world. This led to the formation of Empire building and claiming natural resources from other countries.

In the nineteenth century, economists increasingly questioned this zero-sum game approach. Adam Smith in the Wealth of Nations, sought to show how people could pursue their own self-interest and become better off – but, importantly, other people could also become better off. Commerce was not a zero-sum game, because if firms develop new products and expand, they pay workers more, and ultimately workers can buy more goods.

In the case of free trade, David Ricardo sought to prove that free trade was a way for both countries to become better off. By specialising in their areas of comparative advantage they could enjoy higher living standards through specialisation and trade. This had important political implications because it encouraged a belief that empire building and conquest was not the route to prosperity. Countries could freely trade and both become better off.

‘China taking US jobs’

Under Trump, there was a claim that China was taking US jobs. The observation is that by running an undervalued currency and a current account surplus, China was artificially making exports more competitive. Therefore, US jobs went to China and the US lost out.

It is not actually as clear cut as this view. The US was benefitting from cheaper consumer goods, which increased disposable income and led to greater demand and more US jobs elsewhere. Also, when China runs a trade surplus, it may seem like China is accumulating at the expense of the US. But, China uses its current account surplus to buy US bonds, keep US interest rates lower and so we cannot say it was a zero-sum game. But the interesting thing is it could be perceived as zero-sum game.

Dutch Disease

Dutch Disease‘ This is the observation that a sudden surge in one industry (oil and gas) can have negative effects on other industries, because resources are taken away from other sectors. Heavily investing in gas came at the expense of less output in manufacturing.

Higher taxes and public spending

At first glance the public purse may appear to be a zero-sum game. If the government spend more on education, there is an opportunity cost of higher taxes and/or lower spending elsewhere. However, spending more on education is not necessarily a zero-sum game. If government spending increases educational standards, then workers will become more productive and this will increase economic growth and lead to higher tax revenues. Therefore over time, the higher spending on education will pay dividends of increased tax revenue and better educated workforce. Therefore, the decision to shift spending to education is not a purely zero-sum game because there are knock-on benefits. The aggregate benefits are greater than the aggregate losses.

The cognitive bias of Zero-sum games

We are accustomed to thinking in terms of zero-sum games. We tend to think of situations as zero-sum. For example, if immigrants enter the country, a response may be to think the immigrants will take our jobs and reduce wages. However, this is a fallacy. (known as lump of labour fallacy). Because immigrants do take jobs, but equally create new demand for labour. Supply of labour increases but so does demand.

The opposite of zero-sum thinking could be said to be ‘abundance mentality’

For example, should women’s wages be increased to be on par with men?

At first glance, a man might fear that increasing women’s wages would be at the expense of men. A zero-sum game women catch up with men, men’s wages fall. However, it may be likely that women’s wages can be increased without cutting men’s wages.

  • Women may be more motivated with equal pay, labour productivity increases
  • With more income, women will buy more, increasing demand for labour.
Zero-Sum games in economics - Economics Help (2024)

FAQs

Zero-Sum games in economics - Economics Help? ›

Zero-sum games can include just two players or millions of participants. In financial markets, futures and options are considered zero-sum games because the contracts represent agreements between two parties and, if one investor loses, then the wealth is transferred to another investor.

How is zero-sum game applicable to economics? ›

In game theory and economic theory, the term zero-sum game describes the financial gains of one party that cause an equal amount of loss for the other party. The net change in wealth in these situations is zero, meaning the loss of one party is beneficial to another party.

What is the zero-sum game fallacy of economics? ›

The zero-sum fallacy holds that one person's gain must come at another's expense, and vice versa. This idea is often used to justify protectionist economic policies, such as tariffs and trade barriers, and is used to argue against policies that promote economic growth.

What is an example of a zero-sum game in mercantilism? ›

Answer and Explanation: A zero-sum game refers to a situation in the problem of game theory in which the gain of one person is equivalent to the loss of another person. For example, matching pennies.

How is game theory used in economics in economics? ›

The intention of game theory is to produce optimal decision-making of independent and competing actors in a strategic setting. Using game theory, real-world scenarios for such situations as pricing competition and product releases (and many more) can be laid out and their outcomes predicted.

What is the advantage of game theory in economics? ›

Game theory provides a structured approach to understanding these strategic interactions, offering insights into competitive behaviours, pricing strategies, negotiations, and more. By modelling economic interactions as games, economists can analyse various scenarios and predict outcomes with greater precision.

What is the two person zero-sum game in economics? ›

The 2-person 0-sum game is a basic model in game theory. There are two players, each with an associated set of strategies. While one player aims to maximize her payoff, the other player attempts to take an action to minimize this payoff. In fact, the gain of a player is the loss of another.

Is the US economy a zero-sum game? ›

About a third of Americans either “agree” or “strongly agree” that the economy is a zero-sum game — that one person must lose for another to gain. The figures are higher still for Democrats when they are talking about different ethnic groups, and for Republicans when talking about immigrants who aren't U.S. citizens.

Why capitalism is a zero-sum game? ›

Some view the free market economy as a zero-sum game in which individuals and nations can enrich themselves only by impoverishing other individuals and nations. This is an elementary error, however, since it fails to take into account the basic principles of voluntary exchange and wealth creation.

Is macroeconomics a zero-sum game? ›

Politics is sometimes called zero sum because in common usage the idea of a stalemate is perceived to be "zero sum"; politics and macroeconomics are not zero sum games, however, because they do not constitute conserved systems.

What are real world examples of zero-sum game? ›

Zero-sum games are found in many contexts. Poker and gambling are popular examples of zero-sum games since the sum of the amounts won by some players equals the combined losses of the others. Games like chess and tennis, where there is one winner and one loser, are also zero-sum games.

What is a zero-sum game in simple terms? ›

noun. : a situation in which one person or group can win something only by causing another person or group to lose it. Dividing up the budget is a zero-sum game.

Is stock market zero-sum game? ›

Investors' collective performance in the stock market relative to an index is a zero sum game. Since the value of an index includes all gains and losses, it is, by definition, zero sum.

What is a real life example of game theory in economics? ›

What is an example of game theory in economics? Game theory has a wide application in economics. An example is two firms in a duopolistic market competing for profits. In this case, each firm attempts to counter the strategies of their competitor to maximize profits.

What is the conclusion of game theory in economics? ›

In modern economics and business science, game theory has a wide variety of applications. Game-theoretic tools and approaches may be fruitful in situations connected with strategic decision-making, competition, cooperation, risks and uncertainty.

What is game theory in practice The Economist? ›

Accordingly, modelling behaviour using game theory is proving especially useful when applied to economics. Modelling auctions has proved especially successful, says Robert Aumann, an academic at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem who received a Nobel prize in 2005 for his work in game-theory economics.

What are the applications of zero-sum games? ›

A zero-sum game may have as few as two players or as many as millions of participants. In financial markets, options and futures are examples of zero-sum games, excluding transaction costs. For every person who gains on a contract, there is a counter-party who loses.

What is sum game in economics? ›

positive-sum game, in game theory, a term that refers to situations in which the total of gains and losses is greater than zero. A positive sum occurs when resources are somehow increased and an approach is formulated in which the desires and needs of all concerned are satisfied.

How is game theory used in economics in economics quizlet? ›

Game theory: The study of how people make decisions in situations in which attaining their goals depends on their interactions with others; in economics, the study of the decisions of firms in industries where the profits of a firm depend on its interactions with other firms.

What is a zero sum in macroeconomics? ›

In the context of economics, the concept of zero sum gain is frequently associated with the notion of a fixed or constant money supply. This means that any gain acquired by one party must come at the expense of another party, as the total amount of wealth remains constant.

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